Source-linked AI summary
Determinants of LLM-assisted Decision-Making
Eva Eigner, Thorsten Händler
TL;DR
LLMs offer decision support but also pose risks, making it important to understand what shapes LLM-assisted decisions. This paper reviews determinants and their interactions, develops a dependency framework, and illustrates the analysis through scenarios. It identifies trust or reliance, users’ mental models, and information processing as key aspects, while limiting its scope to traditional unimodal LLMs.
Problem
LLMs can support decisions but also generate harmful or misleading outputs, making it important to understand factors shaping their use in decision-making.
Source: §1 · pp. 1–2Method
An integrative literature review identifies determinants and interactions, synthesizes findings, and develops assumptions and a dependency framework.
Source: §1 · p. 2, §3 · pp. 5–6Results
The analysis presents determinants and their interdependencies, identifying trust or reliance, users’ mental models, and information processing as key aspects of LLM-assisted decisions.
Source: §1 · p. 2, §9 · p. 33Takeaways & Limitations
Awareness of determinants and their interdependencies can help users and organizations address risks such as over-reliance and enhance decision quality.
Source: §1 · p. 3, §9 · p. 33The study focuses on traditional unimodal LLMs and does not account for how decision-making with multimodal LLMs may differ.
Source: §8.2 · p. 31
Abstract
from arXiv · showhide
Decision-making is a fundamental capability in everyday life. Large Language Models (LLMs) provide multifaceted support in enhancing human decision-making processes. However, understanding the influencing factors of LLM-assisted decision-making is crucial for enabling individuals to utilize LLM-provided advantages and minimize associated risks in order to make more informed and better decisions. This study presents the results of a comprehensive literature analysis, providing a structural overview and detailed analysis of determinants impacting decision-making with LLM support. In particular, we explore the effects of technological aspects of LLMs, including transparency and prompt engineering, psychological factors such as emotions and decision-making styles, as well as decision-specific determinants such as task difficulty and accountability. In addition, the impact of the determinants on the decision-making process is illustrated via multiple application scenarios. Drawing from our analysis, we develop a dependency framework that systematizes possible interactions in terms of reciprocal interdependencies between these determinants. Our research reveals that, due to the multifaceted interactions with various determinants, factors such as trust in or reliance on LLMs, the user's mental model, and the characteristics of information processing are identified as significant aspects influencing LLM-assisted decision-making processes. Our findings can be seen as crucial for improving decision quality in human-AI collaboration, empowering both users and organizations, and designing more effective LLM interfaces. Additionally, our work provides a foundation for future empirical investigations on the determinants of decision-making assisted by LLMs.
1 Introduction
LLMs offer varied decision support, but their capabilities also carry risks, making human oversight and an understanding of influencing factors important. The paper reviews technological, psychological, and decision-specific determinants, maps their interdependencies, and illustrates them with scenarios.
1 Introduction
- LLMs can summarize information, generate ideas and alternatives, identify patterns, analyze data, and simulate perspectives, but may also produce false, sycophantic, or deceptive outputs and amplify harmful content.The paper frames human-AI teams as combining human monitoring and contextual knowledge with AI's capacity to process complex patterns and larger amounts of data.Source: §1 · pp. 1–2
- Research has largely examined isolated factors, leaving no comprehensive overview of the determinants and their interplay in AI- or LLM-assisted decision-making.The paper notes prior work on transparency and explanations but says broader analysis of factor characteristics and interplay is lacking.Source: §1 · p. 2
- An integrative literature review provides a structural overview of technological, psychological, and decision-specific determinants, a dependency framework, and illustrations across multiple scenarios.The framework systematizes potential interactions and interdependencies among determinants.Source: §1 · p. 2
- The analysis identifies trust or reliance, users’ mental models, and information processing as key aspects because of their interactions with other determinants.The paper presents awareness of these factors as relevant to assessing LLM outputs and mitigating risks such as over-reliance.Source: §1 · p. 3
2 Background
The background introduces human decision-making, decision-support systems, LLMs, and the stages where LLMs may assist. Together, these topics frame LLM-assisted decisions as human judgments supported by technology.
2.1 Human Decision-Making
- Human decision-making evaluates options against goals using a person’s skills, values, preferences, and beliefs, while situational factors such as time pressure also influence it.Simon’s process has intelligence, design, and choice phases, which can overlap or be revisited.Source: §2.1 · p. 3
2.2 Decision Support Systems and AI-assisted Decision-Making
- Decision-support systems help manage information and clarify judgments, while AI-assisted decisions typically leave the final judgment to the human decision-maker.The described cycle includes AI recommendations, human decisions, and environmental feedback that informs when to trust recommendations.Source: §2.2 · p. 4
2.3 Large Language Models
- LLMs perform language tasks and may show emergent abilities such as step-by-step reasoning and instruction following, alongside risks including misleading information and bias.The background defines an emergent ability as one present in larger models but absent in smaller ones.Source: §2.3 · p. 4
2.4 LLM-assisted Decision-Making Process
- During intelligence, LLMs can clarify problems and gather or summarize information; during design, they can structure problems, define criteria, and generate alternatives.In the choice phase, they can compare options against criteria, simulate scenarios, and assess potential risks.Source: §2.4 · pp. 4–5
3 Methodological Approach
The approach uses an integrative literature review to identify determinants and their interactions, then synthesizes findings into assumptions and a dependency framework. Three determinant classes and six illustrative scenarios organize the analysis.
3 Methodological Approach
- An integrative review identifies relevant literature, synthesizes findings, and derives assumptions about determinants and their possible interactions in LLM-assisted decision-making.The search starts with LLM-focused work, expands to AI and decision-support systems, and uses broader literature when domain-specific interaction research is absent.Source: §3 · pp. 5–7
3.1 Determinants Structure
- The analysis groups determinants as psychological, technological, and decision-specific, excludes environmental factors, and uses feature diagrams to represent determinant structure and interdependencies.The paper also organizes each determinant’s discussion around theoretical background, interactions, implications, and scenario illustrations.Source: §3.1 · pp. 7–8
3.2 Application Scenarios of LLM-assisted Decision-Making
- Six illustrative scenarios provide recurring contexts for examining how psychological, technological, and decision-specific determinants may shape LLM-assisted decisions.The scenarios span medical advice and diagnosis, weight-loss recommendations, vaccination, advertising strategy, and sales forecasting.Source: §3.2 · p. 9
4 Technological Determinants of LLM-assisted Decision Making
The section organizes technological determinants of LLM-assisted decision-making and examines how capabilities, transparency, trustworthiness, prompting, application fields, and risks relate to decisions.
4 Technological Determinants of LLM-assisted Decision Making
- The technological framework groups determinants into capabilities, transparency and explainability, trustworthiness, prompt engineering, application fields, and challenges, limitations, and risks.It also indicates that prompt elements and methods can influence decisions, while an application process uses a single field.Source: Figure 4 · p. 9, §4 · p. 10
Deriving Implications for LLM-assisted Decision-Making
- LLMs can support decisions by summarizing information, generating alternatives, simulating perspectives, analyzing data, and producing reasoned outputs.They also perform tasks such as question answering, translation, code generation, and information retrieval.Source: Deriving Implications for LLM-assisted… · p. 10, §4.1.1 · p. 10
4.2 Transparency and Explainability of LLMs
- Explanations may improve understanding and informed decisions, but LLM self-explanations may not accurately represent their underlying reasoning.In the medical-advice scenario, source transparency and explanations could help users assess whether recommendations rely on credible information.Source: §4.2.1 · p. 11, §4.2.3 · p. 11
4.3 Trustworthiness of LLMs
- Trustworthiness includes reliability, safety, misuse resistance, explainability, social norms, robustness, and fairness, while transparency is described as a potential determinant of trustworthiness.In the weight-loss scenario, disclosing sources, limitations, and risks could support a more informed decision.Source: §4.3.1 · p. 12, §4.3.2 · p. 12, §4.3.4 · p. 12
4.4.1 Theoretical Background
- Prompts establish task context and desired outputs; their elements include instructions, context, input data, and output indicators, while prompt styles vary across several dimensions.Methods include single-turn prompting, such as Chain-of-Thought, and multi-turn approaches such as Tree-of-Thoughts.Source: §4.4.1 · pp. 12–13
4.4.2 Interactions with other Determinants
- Prompting can expose steps or make responses more understandable, and some strategies aim to improve reasoning and compositional capabilities.The scenarios contrast an explanation-seeking sales forecast prompt with iterative medical prompting that permits added details and clarification.Source: §4.4.2 · p. 13, §4.4.3 · pp. 13–14
4.5.1 Theoretical Background
- LLM application fields range from general-purpose chatbots to biology, programming, creative work, law, medicine, reasoning, robotics, and social sciences.The section presents these as potential application domains for decision-making support.Source: §4.5.1 · p. 14
4.6.1 Theoretical Background
- LLM limitations include difficult-to-validate training data, prompt brittleness, outdated knowledge, hallucinations, misaligned behavior, and social and ethical risks.The section also notes explainability challenges, risks of over-reliance, and research concerns including limited experimental design and reproducibility.Source: §4.6.1 · pp. 14–15, §4.6.2 · p. 15
5 Psychological Determinants of LLM-assisted Decision-Making
The psychological framework identifies six determinants of LLM-assisted decision-making and describes which subfactors may or must influence the process.
5 Psychological Determinants of LLM-assisted Decision-Making
- The framework identifies trust or reliance, the user’s mental model, information processing, emotions and mood, metacognitions, and decision-making styles as psychological determinants.Figure 5 presents these as determinants in LLM-assisted decision-making.Source: §5 · p. 15, Figure 5 · p. 15
- For trust and reliance, only one of adequate, under-, or over-reliance can affect a decision; the user’s mental model and the decision problem also influence it..Source: §5 · p. 15
- Intuitive thinking always affects the process, whereas deliberate thinking may not; either positive or negative feelings can matter, and monitoring and/or controlling may occur.Only one of optimizing, satisficing, or minimizing can influence a decision process.Source: §5 · p. 16
5.1 Trust in/ Reliance on LLMs
Trust is an attitude, whereas reliance is behavior; appropriate LLM-assisted decisions require users to accept correct suggestions and reject incorrect ones. Transparency may support trust but can also reduce it through discomfort, while scenarios illustrate both over- and under-reliance.
5.1.1 Theoretical Background
- Appropriate reliance means accepting correct AI predictions and rejecting incorrect ones; over-reliance fails to correct wrong predictions, while under-reliance rejects correct ones.Trust is an attitude that influences reliance, which is behavior following system advice.Source: §5.1.1 · p. 16
5.1.2 Interactions with other Determinants
- Transparency may increase trust by improving perceived effectiveness, but it may also reduce trust by increasing discomfort.Insufficient trust can become a barrier to delegating tasks or decisions to intelligent systems.Source: §5.1.2 · pp. 16–17
5.1.4 Scenario-based Demonstration
- A physician’s uncritical acceptance of a rare-disease diagnosis and a user’s adoption of an extreme diet illustrate over-reliance on LLM advice.Both scenarios describe users accepting recommendations without sufficient scrutiny or verification.Source: §5.1.4 · p. 17
- A marketing manager’s rejection of an LLM’s suggestion illustrates under-reliance, while a sales manager’s scenario links transparency about assumptions and rationale with trust.The sales scenario says transparency might influence trust in projections.Source: §5.1.4 · p. 17
5.2 Mental Model
Mental models shape how people interpret decision problems, systems, and information, and an accurate model of an LLM can help users assess its recommendations. The section connects mental models with trust, reliance, transparency, and prompting, then illustrates their relevance in decision scenarios.
5.2 Mental Model
- Mental models are cognitive representations that shape how people filter and interpret information and understand a decision problem, process, outcome, and feedback.They reflect knowledge, experience, values, beliefs, expectations, and aspirations.Source: §5.2.1 · p. 18
- Understanding an AI system’s capabilities and errors helps users decide when to accept or reject its recommendations.Users develop mental models through interaction, and an accurate understanding of system strengths and weaknesses supports better decisions about following advice.Source: §5.2.1 · p. 18
5.2.2 Interactions with other Determinants
- Explanations can support mental-model maintenance or building, while incomplete or inaccurate mental models are associated with inappropriate trust and reliance.Research cited in the section connects sound, complete explanations with more accurate understanding and novice users’ limited error recognition with over-reliance.Source: §5.2.2 · p. 18
- An accurate LLM mental model can help users set prompts, interpret outputs, recognize errors, and calibrate trust and reliance.Inaccurate models may lead to either over-reliance or under-reliance; users may revise their expectations through repeated interaction.Source: §5.2.2 · pp. 18–19
5.2.4 Scenario-based Demonstration
- For sales projections, awareness of historical-data bias and missing market context could prompt manual review using expertise, recent developments, or colleagues’ insights.The scenario notes that past trends may not reflect future conditions and that LLMs may miss market disruptions.Source: §5.2.4 · pp. 19–20
- More detailed prompts could have asked for common and rare diagnoses with probabilities, while vaccination advice should be cross-checked against reputable medical sources and professionals.The scenarios connect prompt specificity with more targeted responses and recommend verification of LLM health information.Source: §5.2.4 · p. 20
5.3 Information Processing
Information processing ranges from fast, heuristic intuition to slower, effortful analysis, with different implications for decision quality. The section relates processing to mental models, reliance, and anchoring, and illustrates how these patterns may shape LLM-assisted choices.
5.3.1 Theoretical Background
- Intuitive processing is fast and resource-efficient but may reduce precision, while deliberate thinking is slower and cognitively demanding.Heuristics can simplify decisions but may also contribute to cognitive biases and sub-optimal choices.Source: §5.3.1 · p. 20
5.3.2 Interactions with other Determinants
- Mental models guide information search but can exclude valuable information, contributing to confirmation bias and neglect of alternative possibilities.Confirmation bias involves seeking or favoring belief-consistent information while discounting contradictory evidence.Source: §5.3.2 · p. 21
- Analytical reasoning and cognitive forcing strategies may reduce over-reliance on AI, while reliance may also reflect the benefits and costs of checking an answer.The section notes that people may be less likely to over-rely when correct answers are valuable or when determining them is relatively inexpensive.Source: §5.3.2 · p. 21
- An LLM’s first output can act as an anchor, limiting users’ adjustment of its recommendation and exploration of alternatives.The section also proposes analytical reasoning as a possible check on over-reliance and describes belief-consistent attention as a risk in LLM use.Source: §5.3.2 · p. 21
5.3.4 Scenario-based Demonstration
- In the scenarios, an initial platform recommendation may narrow Jenna’s search, while David may focus on information supporting a suggested rare illness.Both examples describe attention to confirming information and reduced consideration of alternatives.Source: §5.3.4 · p. 22
5.4 Emotions and Mood
Emotions and mood may shape both information processing and trust in LLMs. The section describes contrasting processing tendencies associated with positive and negative moods, then applies these proposed connections to decision scenarios.
5.4.1 Theoretical Background
- Emotions are stimulus-linked and relatively intense but brief, whereas moods are less intense, longer-lasting, and not usually tied to a specific stimulus.The section also describes emotions as capable of both beneficial and harmful effects on decisions.Source: §5.4.1 · p. 22
5.4.2 Interactions with other Determinants
- Positive moods are associated with more global, heuristic processing, whereas negative moods are associated with more analytical and systematic processing.The section presents these patterns through the Affect-as-Information Hypothesis and Affect Infusion Model.Source: §5.4.2 · p. 22
- Positive feelings may encourage intuitive acceptance of LLM suggestions, while negative emotional states may prompt more deliberate evaluation.These are proposed implications drawn from the cited affect models.Source: §5.4.2 · p. 23
- Emotional security and satisfaction may increase trust and reliance on LLMs, while frustration or anger may reduce trust and willingness to use them.Incidental emotions may also affect trust: happiness or gratitude may increase it, while anxiety or sadness may reduce it.Source: §5.4.2 · p. 23
5.4.4 Scenario-based Demonstration
- In the scenarios, positive affect may lead Alex to accept projections with less scrutiny, while negative affect may prompt Anna to seek validation and weigh risks.Positive affect is also linked to confirmation bias in Alex’s scenario; negative feelings are linked to skepticism toward vaccination advice in Paula’s scenario.Source: §5.4.4 · p. 23
- Jenna’s positive feelings may increase trust in the LLM’s marketing recommendation, while Paula’s concern may predispose her to distrust the forum’s advice.The scenarios connect these different emotional states with trust in LLM recommendations.Source: §5.4.4 · pp. 23–24
5.5 Metacognitions
Metacognitions monitor and regulate thought, while feelings of rightness or error can shape how users process LLM outputs and whether they rely on them. The scenarios illustrate how these responses may affect decisions.
5.5.1 Theoretical Background
- Meta-reasoning monitors and controls reasoning, problem solving, and decisions; confidence may favor a choice, while uncertainty may prompt more information or another approach [177, p. 275].Monitoring assesses performance; control adjusts the effort devoted to a task.Source: §5.5.1 · p. 24
5.5.2 Interactions with other Determinants
- A strong Feeling of Rightness may discourage reconsideration and risk over-reliance on LLM answers, whereas a Feeling of Error may prompt users to question them and check for inaccuracies.A weak Feeling of Rightness can prompt analytical problem-solving; a Feeling of Error can encourage strategy changes or review of a mental action.Source: §5.5.2 · p. 24
5.5.4 Scenario-based Demonstration
- In the medical-advice scenario, a strong Feeling of Rightness may lead David to accept a rare-illness suggestion without seeking further consultation.The scenario describes this as a risk of over-reliance that could leave other explanations unexplored.Source: §5.5.4 · pp. 24–25
- In the sales-forecast scenario, a Feeling of Error may lead Alex to analyze and verify LLM forecasts, serving as a safeguard against over-reliance.Source: §5.5.4 · p. 25
5.6 Decision-Making Styles
Decision-making styles differ in search effort and the speed or depth of information processing. The paper suggests these differences may shape how people use LLMs and their susceptibility to over-reliance.
5.6.1 Theoretical Background
- Minimizers seek a minimum result with little effort, satisficers stop at options meeting criteria, and maximizers search broadly for the best outcome.Decision styles tend to remain relatively consistent across domains, and maximizers typically invest more effort searching for alternatives.Source: §5.6.1 · p. 25
5.6.2 Interactions with other Determinants
- Minimizers are associated with fast processing, maximizers with slow processing, and satisficers may use either depending on decision complexity.Source: §5.6.2 · p. 25
- Minimizers may accept the first adequate LLM suggestion, satisficers may filter options by criteria, and maximizers may use LLMs for extensive comparison and research.The paper suggests minimizers and satisficers may be more prone to over-reliance, while maximizers may be less likely to over-rely because they critically evaluate suggestions and consider multiple sources.Source: §5.6.2 · pp. 25–26
5.6.4 Scenario-based Demonstration
- In the weight-loss scenario, Anna’s minimizing style may lead her to accept an extreme diet suggestion, while a maximizing style may prompt broader research into its effects and alternatives.A satisficing approach would use criteria such as dietary preferences and potential health risks to filter options.Source: §5.6.4 · p. 26
6 Decision-specific Determinants of LLM-assisted Decision Making
The section examines task difficulty, decision reversibility, accountability, and personal significance as determinants of LLM-assisted decisions. It describes how these conditions may shape information processing and reliance on LLMs.
6 Decision-specific Determinants of LLM-assisted Decision Making
- The decision-specific determinants considered are task difficulty, decision reversibility, accountability, and personal significance.The section presents these factors in Figure 6.Source: §6 · p. 26, Figure 6 · p. 26
6.1 Theoretical Background
- Decision type and environment can shift strategy from heuristic to analytical, while complex situations may demand more information than human cognitive abilities can handle.Source: §6.1 · p. 26
6.2 Interactions with other Determinants
- Difficult tasks may increase over-reliance on decision aids, although findings vary and user expertise may reduce task difficulty’s influence on reliance [18].Source: §6.2 · p. 26
- For LLM use, perceived difficulty may increase reliance when users lack expertise, while growing expertise may reduce reliance even on complex tasks.Perceived irreversibility, accountability, and personal significance may promote deliberate processing and potentially mitigate over-reliance.Source: §6.2 · p. 27
6.4 Scenario-based Demonstration
- In the sales-projection scenario, perceived irreversible consequences and accountability may lead Alex to scrutinize forecasts, ask for reasoning, and compare projections with market knowledge and historical data.Source: §6.4 · p. 27
7 Dependency Framework of Determinants of LLM-assisted Decision-making
The paper presents a framework for reciprocal dependencies among technological, psychological, and decision-specific determinants. Its analysis identifies trust or reliance, the user’s mental model, and information processing as key interconnected factors.
- The dependency framework systematizes potential reciprocal interdependencies among technological, psychological, and decision-specific determinants, using a feature diagram and dependency matrix.The paper draws it from a multidisciplinary literature review and determinant-specific analyses.Source: §7 · p. 27
- Trust in or reliance on LLMs is influenced by the greatest number of factors, including emotions, mood, mental models, information processing, transparency, and trustworthiness.The analysis reports the greatest number of interactions among psychological factors and the fewest at the decision-specific level.Source: §7 · p. 28
- The user’s mental model both shapes and is shaped by other factors, including information processing, prompting techniques, and perceived decision difficulty.Source: §7 · p. 28
- Information processing is linked to emotions, decision significance and reversibility, and the extent of reliance on LLMs.Source: §7 · p. 28
- The dependency matrix shows prompt engineering can affect LLM capabilities, transparency, explainability, and the user’s mental model, while the mental model also influences prompting.Source: §7 · p. 28
8 Discussion
The discussion considers implications for decision-makers and organizations, limitations of the review, and directions for future research. It emphasizes training and critical evaluation while identifying important boundaries on the review’s scope and evidence.
8.1 Implications for Decision-Makers and Organizations
- Training should build users’ understanding of LLM capabilities and constraints, critical evaluation of outputs, and prompt-formulation skills.The discussion also recommends explaining how models analyze and generate information.Source: §8.1 · p. 29
- Addressing over- and under-reliance calls for individual training and organizational practices, including monitoring decisions, feedback mechanisms, and guidance on LLM recommendations.The proposed feedback repository records employee observations and organizational responses.Source: §8.1 · p. 29
- Training can address emotional awareness, metacognitive cues such as FOR and FOE, and decision styles, while organizations should encourage critical review of high-stakes or irreversible choices.A strong Feeling of Rightness may accompany uncritical acceptance; tailored training addresses minimizers, satisficers, and maximizers.Source: §8.1 · pp. 29–30
8.2 Limitations
- The review may inherit selection and publication bias, did not systematically collect and synthesize prior research, and faces relevance challenges as LLMs rapidly develop.The authors expect some psychological and decision-specific influences to remain relatively stable despite technological change.Source: §8.2 · p. 30
- Scope is bounded by omitted organizational and environmental factors, other determinants such as time pressure, predominantly theoretical interactions, and exclusion of multimodal models.Organizational factors were excluded as beyond individuals’ direct control; environmental factors were considered difficult for decision-makers or organizations to influence.Source: §8.2 · pp. 30–31
8.3 Future Work
- Further research could use systematic reviews and experiments to assess determinants and test whether variations in them systematically affect decision behavior.The authors suggest studying how emotions relate to recommendation acceptance and reliance on LLM suggestions.Source: §8.3 · p. 31
- Other directions include studying organizational norms, evaluating training, synthesizing real-world cases, and identifying determinants of decisions supported by multimodal models.Case analyses could compare decision complexity, application domains, LLM involvement, psychological factors, and outcomes.Source: §8.3 · pp. 31–32
- Future work should examine multi-agent settings and investigate interactions involving trust or reliance, users’ mental models, and information processing.The proposed multi-agent direction includes interactions among human users, LLM agents, and system-embedded rules.Source: §8.3 · pp. 31–32
9 Conclusion
The conclusion synthesizes technological, psychological, and decision-specific determinants of LLM-assisted decision-making and presents a framework for their reciprocal interdependencies. It identifies trust or reliance, users’ mental models, and information processing as likely key aspects, and describes how the work may support behavior analysis and future empirical research.
- The analysis covers technological, psychological, and decision-specific determinants and illustrates their potential influence through scenarios.Source: §9 · p. 32
- The dependency framework systematizes and visualizes reciprocal interdependencies, with trust or reliance, users’ mental models, and information processing identified as likely key aspects.Source: §9 · p. 33
- The overview and framework can facilitate explanation and prediction of user behavior and provide a foundation for future empirical studies.Source: §9 · p. 33
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