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CLUE: Non-parametric Verification from Experience via Hidden-State Clustering

Zhenwen Liang, Ruosen Li, Yujun Zhou, Linfeng Song, Dian Yu, Xinya Du, Haitao Mi, Dong Yu

arXiv:2510.01591v1cs.CL

TL;DR

Finding the correct answer among many plausible LLM outputs remains a verification challenge, and existing text-based and confidence-based approaches have limitations. CLUE verifies reasoning using hidden-state activation deltas and experience-based success and failure centroids. It performs strongly against judge and confidence baselines and improves reranking across AIME and GPQA.

  • Problem

    Reliable selection is difficult when an LLM produces many plausible answers, while text-based judgments can be misled and confidence signals are limited by poor calibration.

    Source: §1 · p. 1
  • Method

    CLUE summarizes hidden-state reasoning trajectories by activation deltas and classifies them by distance to success and failure centroids from labeled experience.

    Source: §1 · p. 2, §3.1 · p. 4
  • Results

    CLUE matches or surpasses LLM-as-a-judge and confidence-based baselines; reranking beats majority voting on AIME and GPQA, including 70.0% top-maj@16 versus 56.7% majority@64 on Nemotron-1.5B AIME 24.

    Source: §1 · p. 2, §4.4 · p. 7
  • Takeaways & Limitations

    Correctness appears geometrically encoded in hidden states, with cleanly separable representations in RL-fine-tuned models largely absent in their SFT counterparts.

    Source: §5 · p. 10

Abstract

from arXiv · show

Assessing the quality of Large Language Model (LLM) outputs presents a critical challenge. Previous methods either rely on text-level information (e.g., reward models, majority voting), which can overfit to superficial cues, or on calibrated confidence from token probabilities, which would fail on less-calibrated models. Yet both of these signals are, in fact, partial projections of a richer source of information: the model's internal hidden states. Early layers, closer to token embeddings, preserve semantic and lexical features that underpin text-based judgments, while later layers increasingly align with output logits, embedding confidence-related information. This paper explores hidden states directly as a unified foundation for verification. We show that the correctness of a solution is encoded as a geometrically separable signature within the trajectory of hidden activations. To validate this, we present Clue (Clustering and Experience-based Verification), a deliberately minimalist, non-parametric verifier. With no trainable parameters, CLUE only summarizes each reasoning trace by an hidden state delta and classifies correctness via nearest-centroid distance to ``success'' and ``failure'' clusters formed from past experience. The simplicity of this method highlights the strength of the underlying signal. Empirically, CLUE consistently outperforms LLM-as-a-judge baselines and matches or exceeds modern confidence-based methods in reranking candidates, improving both top-1 and majority-vote accuracy across AIME 24/25 and GPQA. As a highlight, on AIME 24 with a 1.5B model, CLUE boosts accuracy from 56.7% (majority@64) to 70.0% (top-maj@16).

1 Introduction

Finding the correct answer among many plausible LLM outputs is a verification challenge. CLUE uses hidden-state reasoning trajectories as a unified verification signal and performs strongly against judge and confidence-based baselines.

1 Introduction

  • LLMs can produce many plausible answers, making reliable selection of the correct one a central verification challenge.The challenge is to select the correct answer from dozens of alternatives.Source: §1 · p. 1
  • Text-based judges and majority voting can be misled by stylistic artifacts, while confidence-based metrics are fragile on poorly calibrated or smaller models.Trained judges can also be brittle under distribution shift and expensive to retrain for new domains.Source: §1 · pp. 1–2
  • Hidden states combine semantic and lexical cues in early layers with confidence-related signals in later layers, and correct and incorrect trajectories separate geometrically.The paper reports this separation across tasks and model scales.Source: §1 · p. 2, Figure 1 · p. 2
  • CLUE summarizes each reasoning trace by its activation delta and classifies it by distance to success and failure centroids built from labeled historical trajectories.It uses layer-averaged Euclidean distance and does not require a learned judge.Source: §1 · p. 2
  • CLUE matches or surpasses LLM-as-a-judge and confidence-based baselines, with robust generalization reported across tasks and model scales.The paper highlights gains on smaller or less-calibrated models where probability cues are unreliable.Source: §1 · pp. 2–3

2 Related Work

Related work studies hidden-state geometry for latent reasoning and several approaches to test-time scaling. CLUE differs by using activation deltas and experience-derived centroids without a trainable verifier.

2.1 Latent Reasoning and Activation Geometry

  • Prior work studies latent reasoning and activation geometry, including intermediate activations that align with output distributions and hidden-state probes for verification.Other work uses semantic clustering or activation directions for robustness, monitoring, and steering.Source: §2.1 · p. 3

2.2 Test Time Scaling

  • Test-time scaling includes sampling and voting, sequential refinement, and learned or confidence-based selection, whereas CLUE reranks using success and failure centroids without a trainable verifier.The passage contrasts CLUE with reward models, hidden-state rewards, and internal-confidence filtering.Source: §2.2 · p. 3

3 The CLUE Framework

CLUE treats correctness verification as a geometric comparison between hidden-state reasoning trajectories and centroids formed from labeled experience. Its activation-delta representation supports classification and candidate reranking while keeping the LLM frozen.

3 The CLUE Framework

  • CLUE captures systematic differences between correct and incorrect reasoning trajectories through training-free aggregation of activation deltas and class centroids.A new trajectory is verified by its proximity to the success and failure centroids.Source: §3 · p. 3, Figure 2 · p. 4

3.1 Problem Formulation

  • A trajectory is a prompt-response pair with a binary correctness label, and the verification function uses hidden states while the LLM remains frozen.The label distinguishes success from failure.Source: §3.1 · p. 4

3.2 CLUE: Verification via Activation-Delta Summaries

  • CLUE represents the reasoning transformation as the difference between hidden states at the start and end of the explicit reasoning block.The activation-delta matrix uses hidden states across all layers as the sole verification feature.Source: §3.2 · p. 4

3.3 Centroid Construction and Classification

  • CLUE averages labeled trajectory deltas into success and failure centroids, then classifies a new trajectory by its layer-averaged distances to them.The nearer centroid determines the predicted class, without gradient-based optimization.Source: §3.3 · pp. 4–5

3.4 Application to Solution Reranking

  • For reranking, CLUE scores each candidate by distance to the success centroid and ranks candidates in ascending score order.The ranking supports top-1 selection or prioritization within majority-vote aggregation.Source: §3.4 · p. 5

3.5 Rationale for a Minimalist, Experience-Based Design

  • The minimalist, deterministic aggregation is intended to isolate the hidden-state representation’s contribution and reduce overfitting risk while supporting generalization.The paper presents this as a lightweight complement to text-level and confidence-based signals.Source: §3.5 · p. 5

4 Experiments

The experiments assess CLUE as both a solution classifier and a reranker across mathematical and general-reasoning benchmarks, model scales, and training paradigms. Results show improved reranking accuracy, cross-model verification by RL-trained models, and stronger correctness separation in deeper layers.

4.2 Evaluation Setups and Baselines

  • Evaluation measures binary correct/incorrect classification and reranking of 64 candidates, using GPT-4o judges, majority voting, DeepConf, and pass@64 as baselines or reference.Reranking reports top@1 and top-maj@k for k ∈{4, 8, 16}; classification labels come from a rule-based verifier.Source: §4 · p. 5, §4.2 · p. 6

4.1 Datasets and Model Configuration

  • The experience set uses 10,000 correct and 10,000 incorrect trajectories sampled from AIME and MATH, with AIME 2024/2025 and GPQA as test sets.The study evaluates Nemotron-1.5B, Polaris-4B, and DeepSeek-R1-0528-Qwen3-8B with reasoning lengths of 16k, 32k, and 64k tokens.Source: §4.1 · p. 6

4.3 Classification Performance

  • CLUE maintains a more balanced classification profile than GPT-4o, with TNR up to 87.4% on Nemotron-1.5B and TPR up to 89.5% on Polaris-4B outputs.GPT-4o's TNR falls to 34.4% on Polaris-4B solutions on AIME 2025, reflecting its tendency to misclassify incorrect solutions as correct.Source: §4.3 · p. 7, Table 1 · p. 7

4.4 Reranking for Enhanced Reasoning Accuracy

  • On AIME 24, Nemotron-1.5B top-maj@16 reaches 70.0% versus majority@64 56.7%; on GPQA, Polaris-4B reaches 59.6% versus majority voting 56.6%.Across AIME and GPQA, CLUE reranking consistently outperforms majority voting; CLUE also maintains an edge across model scales where confidence cues are poorly calibrated.Source: §4.4 · pp. 7–8, Table 2 · p. 8

4.5 Generalization and the Influence of Training Paradigms

  • RL-trained verifiers transfer across models: Nemotron-1.5B raises Deepseek-7B accuracy to 80.0% from a 76.7% baseline, while Polaris-4B raises Qwen3-4B outputs to 83.3%.SFT self-reranking barely matches or can lag majority@64; the authors attribute the difference to RL's direct contrastive supervision for correct and incorrect reasoning.Source: §4.5 · pp. 8–9, Figure 3 · p. 8

4.6 Generalization to Diverse, Non-Mathematical Reasoning

  • On WebInstruct-verified, CLUE outperforms GPT-4o for both model sizes: accuracy is 60.4% versus 54.0% for 1.5B, and 59.2% versus 48.1% for 4B.CLUE centroids are computed from the WebInstruct training set.Source: Table 3 · p. 9, §4.6 · p. 9

4.7 Layer-wise Separability Analysis

  • PCA projections show success and failure clusters overlapping in shallow layers, separating in middle layers, and forming compact clusters in final layers.The centroid-distance curve rises with depth and typically peaks in the final layers, indicating more explicit, separable correctness signals there.Source: §4.7 · pp. 9–10, Figure 4 · p. 10

5 Conclusion

The conclusion presents LLM reasoning as geometrically structured, with correctness signals accessible in hidden states. CLUE uses this structure for verification and highlights a relationship between training paradigm and representational separability.

5 Conclusion

  • CLUE achieves verification performance through simple geometric clustering of past experiences and is described as more robust than LLM judges and confidence-based methods.The framework is non-parametric.Source: §5 · p. 10
  • Reinforcement Learning-fine-tuned models develop cleanly separable representations for correct and incorrect reasoning, a property described as largely absent in SFT models.Source: §5 · p. 10
  • The authors argue that CLUE’s results support analyzing and shaping internal reasoning, and may motivate lightweight generalizable verifiers and training objectives for representational clarity.Source: §5 · p. 10

A.1 Algorithmic Details

CLUE first builds success and failure reference centroids from labeled reasoning trajectories, then classifies new trajectories by their distance to those references. Both phases use activation-delta matrices while the underlying language model remains frozen.

A.1 Algorithmic Details

  • The centroid-aggregation and inference phases operate on activation-delta matrices and use layer-averaged Euclidean distance, with the underlying LLM frozen throughout.Source: §A.1 · p. 14
  • The learning phase partitions labeled trajectories, extracts hidden states at reasoning-block boundaries, computes activation deltas, and averages them by class to form success and failure centroids.The centroids serve as geometric references during inference.Source: §A.1 · p. 14
  • At inference, CLUE computes a new trajectory’s activation delta, measures its distances to both centroid matrices, and assigns the nearer centroid’s label.The success centroid yields a correct classification; the failure centroid yields an incorrect classification.Source: §A.1 · p. 14
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