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Strategic and Grid-Aware Maintenance Planning of Offshore Wind Farms

Robert Mieth, Ahmed Aziz Ezzat

arXiv:2609.00651v1eess.SY

TL;DR

Wind-farm maintenance planning has rarely been studied together with grid conditions and electricity-market clearing, despite offshore O&M costs and grid impacts. The paper develops deterministic and stochastic bilevel models in which a wind operator chooses capacity derates while the system operator clears the market. Experiments show strategic planning can improve wind-farm profit with low system-cost impact, while uncertainty reduces profit and requires additional maintenance intervals.

  • Problem

    The explicit relationship between offshore wind maintenance planning and grid operations is understudied, despite substantial offshore O&M costs and potential grid-reliability impacts from outages.

    Source: §I · p. 1
  • Method

    The paper formulates deterministic and stochastic bilevel maintenance-planning models coupling wind-farm capacity derates with system-operator economic dispatch and market clearing.

    Source: D. Objective and Contributions · p. 3, §V · p. 9
  • Results

    Strategic maintenance planning can improve wind-farm profit with low impact on system costs, while uncertainty decreases profit and requires additional maintenance intervals.

    Source: C. Maintenance planning under… · p. 8, §V · p. 9
  • Takeaways & Limitations

    Strategic and grid-serving maintenance planning are partially aligned, and low-price or high-wind, low-demand periods provide opportunities to reduce maintenance opportunity costs.

    Source: §V · p. 9

    Perfect information about system-operator behavior makes the reported additional profits an upper bound within the experiments.

    Source: §V · p. 9

Abstract

from arXiv · show

Wind turbines require regular maintenance and the resulting costs are a substantial component of a wind farm's cost of electricity production. As a result, there has been ongoing interest in improving wind turbine maintenance scheduling to find an optimal balance between maintenance costs and the risk of failure or unplanned repairs. What remains understudied is the opportunity for wind farms to schedule maintenance in the context of grid conditions and electricity market clearing. This paper contributes to closing this gap by modeling and studying wind farm maintenance planning in a grid and electricity market context. We also review current U.S. practice of wind farm maintenance scheduling, which motivates this paper and its models. Our focus is the derivation of a strategic maintenance planning problem, alongside an efficient solution approach, in which the wind farm operator aims to submit a derated wind farm capacity such that the resulting market clearing and electricity prices maximize its profit while ensuring that all required maintenance can be performed. We derive and study both deterministic and stochastic versions of the model, with the latter considering environmental and operational uncertainties. We conduct numerical experiments using the IEEE RTS 96-bus testbed with real-world offshore wind farm data and investigate the roles of farm and turbine size, as well as forecast quality. We observe an alignment between strategic and grid-serving maintenance planning and find that wind farms can improve their bottom line with low impact on system costs.

I. INTRODUCTION

Offshore wind maintenance is costly and operationally complex, yet its explicit interaction with grid operations and electricity markets remains understudied. The paper addresses this gap by linking strategic wind-farm maintenance decisions with market and grid considerations.

C. Opportunities from current grid operations

Current system-operator requirements create opportunities for short-notice, forecast-informed maintenance and flexible turbine assignment within farm-level derate windows. The paper uses these opportunities to formulate strategic maintenance planning models.

Opportunities from current grid operations

B. System operator: Economic dispatch

The system operator solves a cost-minimal economic-dispatch problem using controllable generation and available wind power to meet demand. Wind capacity and availability constrain wind injections, while the energy-balance dual variable determines price.

System operator: Economic dispatch

C. Grid-serving maintenance planning

Grid-serving maintenance planning minimizes grid-operation costs while retaining the maintenance and grid constraints of the underlying models.

Grid-serving maintenance planning

D. Deterministic strategic maintenance scheduling

The strategic maintenance model is a bilevel formulation in which the wind operator chooses potentially derated capacity while anticipating market-clearing prices and dispatch. Its objective is to maximize profit while satisfying maintenance requirements under consistent wind availability assumptions.

  • The formulation is bilevel, with the wind operator as leader and the system operator as follower.Source: 1) Model formulation · p. 4
  • The wind operator chooses the optimal potentially derated farm capacity to submit to the system operator.Source: 1) Model formulation · p. 4
  • The system operator then computes electricity prices and wind dispatch in response to the submitted capacity.Source: 1) Model formulation · p. 4
  • The model assumes consistent wind-power availability across turbines and between the wind and system operators.Source: 1) Model formulation · p. 4
  • The lower-level problem is reformulated using its first-order optimality conditions to obtain a tractable single-level equivalent.Source: 2) Solution approach · p. 4

3) Resolving bilinear terms:

The bilinear bilevel formulation is converted into a mixed-integer linear program using strong duality, complementary slackness, and Big-M linearization.

III. MAINTENANCE PLANNING UNDER UNCERTAINTY

The stochastic model represents uncertain wind availability and maintenance access through conditional scenarios. Dispatch is optimized separately after each wind-availability scenario is realized, while selected planning decisions are made beforehand.

  • Metocean uncertainty affects both wind availability and whether turbine maintenance can be performed.Source: §III · p. 5
  • The stochastic formulation extends the scenario-indexed dispatch structure while retaining the modeled uncertainty in environmental and operational conditions.Source: §III · p. 5, A. Grid operator under uncertainty · p. 5
  • Wind availability is modeled with scenarios, while site access is a binomial variable indicating whether maintenance is possible.Source: §III · p. 5
  • Site-access scenarios are conditional on wind-availability scenarios, with joint probabilities formed from marginal and conditional probabilities.Source: §III · p. 5
  • For each realized wind-availability scenario, the grid operator computes cost-minimal dispatch without look-ahead or stochastic decisions.Source: A. Grid operator under uncertainty · p. 5

B. Strategic wind farm maintenance under uncertainty

The uncertainty-aware strategic model commits farm derates and maintenance capacity before uncertainty is known, then evaluates maintenance and dispatch across scenarios. Case-study experiments use the RTS-GLMC system and offshore wind data to compare strategic, fixed-price, and grid-serving planning.

B. Strategic wind farm maintenance under uncertainty

A. Illustrative deterministic case

  • Strategic maintenance deliberately reduces farm capacity during high wind availability to avoid low prices and increase profits.Source: §IV · p. 6
  • Fixed-price and grid-serving approaches produce similar wind injections, prices, and effective farm capacities.Source: A. Illustrative deterministic case · p. 6
  • Strategic maintenance schedules some work during high-wind, low-load periods, reducing injected wind power while selling the remaining power at a higher price.Source: A. Illustrative deterministic case · p. 7
  • 1.45% and 1.20% are the average strategic profit increases relative to fixed-price and grid-serving planning, respectively.Source: A. Illustrative deterministic case · p. 7

B. Impact of farm and turbine size

Strategic maintenance planning yields greater profit gains for larger farms and for smaller per-turbine ratings, because farm size increases price impact while smaller turbines provide more derating flexibility.

C. Maintenance planning under uncertainty

The uncertainty-aware strategy uses wind availability and access scenarios to spread maintenance across more opportunities. Forecast quality affects both maintenance-window requirements and profits nonlinearly, with uncertainty-driven conservatism reducing profitability.

  • The stochastic model uses 10 realistic wind availability scenarios and estimates site-access probabilities from unsafe wind and wave conditions.For each wind scenario, five sets of access scenarios are sampled.Source: C. Maintenance planning under… · pp. 7–8
  • Uncertainty spreads maintenance windows across scenarios, scheduling 3.46% more maintenance blocks on average and reducing profit by 1.76% versus the perfect-knowledge deterministic baseline.The stochastic problem solved to a 0.61% optimality gap in 23.2 minutes.Source: C. Maintenance planning under… · p. 8
  • Forecast degradation is modeled through spread, which moves scenarios away from the ensemble mean, and lag, which shifts scenarios temporally relative to that mean.The degraded forecast is clipped to [0, 1] when needed, and lag is sampled from [−ℓ, ℓ].Source: C. Maintenance planning under… · p. 8
  • Across forecast-quality cases, the stochastic model solved in 17.3 minutes on average with a 0.70% average optimality gap.Source: C. Maintenance planning under… · p. 8
  • At lags up to six hours, additional maintenance windows more than double for each forecast-uncertainty level, while profit losses vary less monotonically.The profit impact is systematically higher for zero spread across the studied lag cases.Source: C. Maintenance planning under… · p. 8
  • Profit losses are mainly driven by forecast spread: slight uncertainty can improve low-opportunity-cost scheduling, whereas high spread produces conservative capacity reductions and larger losses.Overall economic impacts are nonlinear and non-monotonic in forecast quality.Source: C. Maintenance planning under… · p. 9

V. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION

The paper develops deterministic and stochastic bilevel models for strategic, grid-aware wind-farm maintenance planning and studies how maintenance derates interact with market clearing. Results show strategic scheduling can improve wind-farm profits, while uncertainty and modeling assumptions bound the conclusions.

Model and solution approach

  • The models represent the wind-farm operator as choosing capacity derates before the system operator prices and dispatches generation.Both deterministic and stochastic formulations account for maintenance requirements; the stochastic version includes wind availability and site-access uncertainty.Source: §V · p. 9

Strategic maintenance planning

  • Wind farms can schedule maintenance during low-price periods to reduce the opportunity cost of derating, while strategically avoiding very-low-price periods.The latter can involve scheduling some turbines during high-wind, low-demand periods.Source: §V · p. 9
  • Strategic maintenance planning is partially aligned with a maintenance plan chosen by the system operator to serve grid objectives.This indicates overlap between profit-oriented and grid-serving maintenance decisions within the experiments.Source: §V · p. 9

Uncertainty

  • Uncertainty in wind availability and site access reduces profit margins and requires additional maintenance intervals to ensure all requirements are fulfilled.Poorer forecast quality can make the plan increasingly conservative and increase profit losses relative to the deterministic benchmark.Source: §V · p. 9

Limitations

  • Perfect information about the system operator’s behavior makes the reported additional profits an upper bound within the experiments.In practice, operators would need to predict grid signals and potentially robustify schedules against signal uncertainty.Source: §V · p. 9
  • The study simplifies market clearing by assuming no grid congestion and examines only a single wind farm.The authors identify congestion and multiple strategic operators as directions for future model extensions.Source: §V · p. 9
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