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Recovering Governing Dynamics from Distributed Observations via Exact Spline Merging
Naveen Mysore
TL;DR
Distributed observations leave no single observer with the full field, yet recovering governing dynamics benefits from a continuous, differentiable representation. This paper merges fixed-basis spline fits from local summaries and reports no degradation relative to centralized fitting, with parameter recovery across four PDEs.
Problem
Method
Each holder computes additive Gram-matrix and moment-vector summaries for a shared fixed spline basis, which are merged for field reconstruction and physical inference.
Source: §2.4 · p. 4, §3 · p. 4, §5 · p. 8Results
Prediction-space discrepancies remain below 2×10^-11 across synthetic experiments, with sub-percent parameter recovery for linear PDEs and 5% for nonlinear Burgers.
Source: §5 · p. 8Takeaways & Limitations
In this setting, fragmented observations support physical inference without sharing raw data.
Source: §1 · p. 1, §5 · p. 8Exact merging removes aggregation discrepancy only; field-approximation error, derivative-estimation error, and physical-regression identifiability issues remain.
Source: §2.4 · p. 4
Abstract
from arXiv · showhide
Scientific observations are frequently distributed across locations, time periods, and institutions. Combining such observations into a continuous, differentiable field enables recovering governing physical parameters from its derivatives. This paper makes two contributions in this setting. First, the established additive structure of fixed-basis ridge-regression statistics is applied to tensor-product spline fields: each data holder computes a local Gram matrix and moment vector, and the merged solution is mathematically identical to centralized fitting, with no raw data shared and no iterative synchronization. This property is specific to the fixed-feature squared-error setting; the present derivation does not establish an analogous guarantee for general jointly trained multilayer networks. Second, a complete pipeline connects distributed observations to physical parameter inference through field reconstruction, derivative extraction, and linear regression. The pipeline is validated on four PDEs: diffusion, wave, heat-with-source, and the nonlinear viscous Burgers equation, recovering governing parameters to sub-percent accuracy in the linear cases and 5\% for Burgers. In all cases, distributed merging introduces zero degradation relative to centralized fitting. Synthetic experiments validate parameter recovery; application to 41 years of NOAA sea-surface temperature data validates field reconstruction and aggregation equivalence on real spatiotemporal observations. Source code to reproduce all experiments is available at https://github.com/NAVEENMN/splinemerge.
1 INTRODUCTION
The paper presents an end-to-end pipeline from distributed observations to governing-parameter estimates, with exact centralized-equivalent reconstruction for fixed-basis spline fields and approximate physical-parameter inference from their derivatives. It reports validation across synthetic PDEs, MNIST, and real climate data.
- Each data holder sends local fixed-basis spline sufficient statistics, not raw observations, and a one-shot merge reproduces centralized fitting without iterative synchronization.The exact guarantee applies to recovering field coefficients in the fixed-feature squared-error setting.Source: §1 · pp. 1–2
- Prior model-merging methods address different settings, while federated scientific machine learning requires iterative training and field reconstruction or equation-discovery methods typically assume centralized data.The introduction situates the fixed-feature aggregation approach alongside earlier work on ridge-regression statistics and one-shot federated aggregation.Source: §1 · p. 1
- For MNIST, merged spline reconstructions match centralized fits with worst-case δmax < 10^-13 across all ten digits when all holders contribute.The figure also illustrates degradation when a holder is absent, with distinctive middle features affected more than simpler shapes.Source: §1 · p. 1, Figure 1 · p. 2
- Physical-parameter estimation from derivatives of the reconstructed field is approximate, unlike the exact aggregation guarantee for field coefficients.The parameters include diffusivity, wave speed, and viscosity.Source: §1 · p. 2
- The pipeline recovers governing parameters to sub-percent accuracy for linear PDEs and 5% for nonlinear Burgers, while distributed merging causes no degradation versus centralized fitting.The paper also reports a systematic noise sensitivity analysis.Source: §1 · p. 2
2 BACKGROUND
The background develops fixed-basis ridge fitting from spline representations to sufficient statistics, then shows how those statistics enable exact distributed merging. It distinguishes this guarantee from field-approximation and physical-inference errors.
2 BACKGROUND
- Multiple holders share a scalar field’s coordinate system, fixed basis, coefficient ordering, and regularized objective to recover pooled-fit coefficients and estimate governing-equation parameters.A holder may represent a spatial region, institutional partition, or class-conditional subset.Source: §2 · p. 3
2.1 B-SPLINE BASIS FUNCTIONS
- Cubic B-splines on a uniform grid have compact support over four adjacent knot intervals, are C2-continuous across interior knots, and form a partition of unity.The representation can express nonlinear dependence on x while remaining linear in its coefficients.Source: §2.1 · p. 3
2.2 FITTING AS LINEAR REGRESSION
- With positive ridge regularization, squared-error fitting has a strictly convex objective and a unique global minimum, even when the feature matrix is rank-deficient.The resulting normal equations determine the fitted coefficients.Source: §2.2 · p. 3
2.3 GRAM MATRIX, MOMENT VECTOR, AND SUFFICIENT STATISTICS
- For fixed-basis ridge fitting, the Gram matrix and moment vector suffice to compute the coefficient estimate, with summary size independent of observation count.Dense summaries can exceed raw-data size when K is large relative to N; exploiting sparsity or structure may be needed for a bandwidth advantage.Source: §2.3 · p. 3, §2.4 · p. 4
2.4 COMPOSABILITY: FROM SUFFICIENCY TO EXACT DISTRIBUTED MERGING
- Each data holder can merge local Gram matrices and moment vectors to recover exactly the centralized fit, without sharing raw observations or iterative synchronization.The merge requires a single matrix solve and extends to any number of holders.Source: §2.4 · p. 4
- A data merge uses local moment vectors, while a prediction-matching merge uses locally fitted coefficients; the two coincide when local fits are at their unregularized optima.The experiments use the data merge.Source: §2.4 · p. 4
- The guarantee applies to fixed feature maps with quadratic objectives, not exact merging of fully trainable multilayer networks whose changing features invalidate prior Gram matrices.It also does not remove field-approximation, derivative-estimation, or physical-regression identifiability errors.Source: §2.4 · p. 4
3 METHOD
The method represents observations as fixed-feature spline fields, allowing local Gram statistics to be merged across dimensions. It then recovers PDE parameters from derivatives of the fitted continuous field, with accuracy limited by field approximation, derivative error, and conditioning.
3 METHOD
- A fixed feature vector makes 1D curves, 2D surfaces, and 3D spatiotemporal fields use the same Gram-merge algebra.The method specifies field representation, basis geometry, and parameter recovery.Source: §3 · p. 4
3.1 TENSOR-PRODUCT SPATIOTEMPORAL FIELDS
- Tensor-product fields combine cubic spatial B-splines with temporal B-splines or Fourier harmonics, flattening coefficients into a feature-vector model to which Gram merging applies.For two spatial dimensions and one temporal dimension, the feature matrix has one column per tensor-product basis feature.Source: §3.1 · p. 5
3.2 BASIS GEOMETRY AND MERGE STATISTICS
- Compactly supported B-splines yield banded univariate Gram blocks and zero interactions for nonoverlapping supports, while global Fourier features generally yield non-sparse Gram matrices.Exact statistic aggregation is demonstrated for spline and hybrid representations; basis support alone does not explain approximate averaging, and controlled comparisons of basis families are left to future work.Source: §3.2 · p. 5
3.3 PHYSICAL PARAMETER RECOVERY
- Central finite differences on the fitted field provide derivatives for ordinary least-squares recovery of PDE parameters that enter linearly.Recovery depends on field approximation, derivative computation, and conditioning; nearly zero Laplacians make diffusion recovery unreliable, and finite-difference error creates noisy features whose errors may be correlated with the response.Source: §3.3 · pp. 5–6
- Spatial fragmentation can make local spline Gram matrices rank-deficient, but exact unregularized local minimizers still yield the same merged statistics.Composability also holds with a globally shared quadratic penalty when the summed Gram matrix plus penalty matrix is positive definite.Source: §3.3 · p. 6
4 EXPERIMENTS
Experiments test the spline-merging pipeline on four synthetic PDEs and NOAA sea-surface temperature data. The PDEs recover physical parameters, while distributed merging reproduces centralized fitting; the real-data test evaluates reconstruction and interpolation.
4.1 DIFFUSION EQUATION
- Diffusion recovered D = 0.04994 with 0.12% relative error from 10,000 observations; centralized and merged fields were visually indistinguishable.The fit used a 3D tensor-product B-spline field with 1,331 basis functions. The figure’s error panels show field-approximation error, not merge error.Source: §4.1 · p. 6
4.2 WAVE EQUATION
- Wave speed was recovered as cw,rec = 0.9991 with 0.09% error from 10,000 observations, and distributed merging matched centralized fitting to δmax < 10−12.The wave field conserves energy; centralized and merged reconstructions were visually indistinguishable.Source: §4.2 · p. 6, §4.1 · p. 6
4.3 VISCOUS BURGERS EQUATION (NONLINEAR)
- Burgers recovered κrec = 0.1050 with 5.0% error from 5,000 observations, while merging reproduced centralized fitting to δmax < 2 × 10−11.The nonlinear u ux feature had higher parameter error in this configuration, and representation and derivative-estimation errors were not isolated. Refining the reference grid from 80×60 to 320×240 reduced reference-field recovery error from 0.89% to 0.06%.Source: §4.3 · p. 6
4.4 HEAT EQUATION WITH SPATIALLY VARYING SOURCE
- For heat with a spatially varying source, Drec = 0.02977 had 0.76% relative error from 10,000 observations, and merging matched centralized fitting to δmax < 10−12.The periodic source was S(x, y) = 0.3 + 0.2 cos x + 0.1 sin 2y; the solution used an exact modal formula.Source: §4.4 · p. 6
4.5 NOISE SENSITIVITY AND ROBUSTNESS
- Across 90 diffusion and wave noise conditions, merging reproduced centralized estimates to δmax < 10−11; mean relative parameter error was below 1% at 3,000+ observations with up to 1% noise.High noise systematically attenuated diffusion estimates; increasing observation count with fixed unnormalized ridge penalty also changes effective regularization. Table 1 summarizes merge results across all four PDEs on balanced regional draws; separate full-domain draws explain slight estimate differences.Source: §4.5 · p. 7, Table 1 · p. 7
4.6 REAL DATA: NOAA SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE
- On NOAA OI SST V2 data, merged and centralized fits both had in-sample RMSE 0.639°C; held-out spatial and temporal RMSEs were 0.643°C and 0.663°C, respectively.The product covered December 1981 to January 2023 and approximately 4.41 million ocean grid-month values. The merge reproduced centralized reconstruction RMSEs in both held-out tests; the data are a gridded analysis product, not raw sensor records.Source: §4.6 · p. 7
5 CONCLUSION
Tensor-product spline fields support exact distributed merging of sufficient statistics, enabling physical inference from fragmented observations. Across the tested PDEs and NOAA data, merging matched centralized fitting without degradation.
5 CONCLUSION
- Across four PDEs, merging caused zero degradation: prediction-space discrepancies stayed below 2×10^-11; linear-PDE parameter recovery was sub-percent, Burgers recovery was 5%, and NOAA SST reconstruction RMSEs matched centralized fitting.The conclusion reports these results for synthetic experiments and real NOAA sea-surface temperature observations.Source: §5 · p. 8
- For fixed-feature squared-error fitting, holders communicate only Gram matrices and moment vectors; limitations include tensor-product scaling (P = kq), finite-difference derivatives, and requiring known PDE structure.The protocol merges composable sufficient statistics without sharing raw observations.Source: §5 · p. 8
REPRODUCIBILITY STATEMENT
- Experiments used fixed random seeds; linear PDE data came from analytic Fourier-mode evolution, while Burgers used dealiased pseudospectral RK4 with N=256 and ∆t=0.001.Experiment descriptions report key hyperparameters; supplementary code provides full specifications, and the experiment code is available at the repository linked in the abstract.Source: REPRODUCIBILITY STATEMENT · p. 8
ETHICS STATEMENT
- The work involved no human subjects or private data; NOAA SST data is public, and the framework shares sufficient statistics rather than individual records but makes no formal privacy guarantee.Privacy leakage through shared statistics was not analyzed.Source: ETHICS STATEMENT · p. 8
AI USE STATEMENT
- The author designed and conducted the research and takes responsibility for the final work; Claude and ChatGPT assisted with debugging, literature search, prose editing, and mathematical cross-checks.The author also performed primary-source verification of citations.Source: AI USE STATEMENT · p. 8
A EXPERIMENTAL CONFIGURATION AND ADDITIONAL RESULTS
Experiments used a specified software and hardware setup, and the Burgers and heat-with-source figures show merged fields matching centralized fits to very small maximum errors.
A EXPERIMENTAL CONFIGURATION AND ADDITIONAL RESULTS
- Experiments used InKAN v0.4.2 with a piecewise polynomial basis, PyTorch float64, and NVIDIA H100 80GB GPUs; released code runs on CPU.Table 2 summarizes the experimental configuration and identifies P as total coefficients and Neval as the FD derivative grid.Source: A EXPERIMENTAL CONFIGURATION AND… · p. 11, Table 2 · p. 11
- The merged field matches centralized fitting in Burgers (δmax < 2 × 10^-11) and heat-with-source (δmax < 10^-12).Source: Figure 4 · p. 11, Figure 5 · p. 12
B NOISE SENSITIVITY STUDY
The noise study finds exact agreement between distributed and centralized fitting across tested conditions, while noise affects parameter recovery differently for diffusion and wave equations.
B NOISE SENSITIVITY STUDY
- In all 90 conditions, distributed merging reproduced the centralized estimator (δmax < 10−11), and all wave conditions produced valid c c2w ≥0.Table 3 reports mean ± std relative error over five independent seeds, with noise levels defined relative to a fixed reference-grid field standard deviation.Source: Table 3 · p. 12
- At 5% noise with 1K observations, diffusion estimates had mean signed bias −0.003, consistent with errors-in-variables attenuation under high noise.The bias analysis describes diffusion estimates as systematically attenuated under high noise.Source: B NOISE SENSITIVITY STUDY · p. 12
- Wave-speed recovery is more robust at high observation counts because temporal smoothing benefits both utt and the Laplacian used by the estimator.The wave-speed estimator depends on utt and the Laplacian.Source: B NOISE SENSITIVITY STUDY · p. 12
C DISCUSSION
The discussion defines where exact merging is guaranteed and identifies computational and validation limits, while outlining directions for extending the framework.
C DISCUSSION
- Exact merging applies to fixed-feature models with a quadratic objective, not independently trained multilayer networks; it extends to shared quadratic penalties when P_s G_s + λR is positive definite.Changing an earlier network layer invalidates later-layer Gram matrices.Source: C DISCUSSION · p. 12
- Basis support constrains Gram sparsity, but averaging also depends on function space, coverage, regularization, and conditioning; controlled basis-family comparison remains future work.Source: C DISCUSSION · p. 12
- Coefficient count grows exponentially with input dimension, while dense Gram storage is O(P^2) and solving is O(P^3); dense summaries exceeded raw-data size in synthetic experiments.Communication savings require sparsity exploitation, which was not implemented. Finite-difference derivatives limit physics-recovery accuracy; the NOAA experiment uses an already-interpolated product, so real-data physical-parameter inference remains unvalidated, and privacy leakage from shared statistics is unanalyzed.Source: C DISCUSSION · p. 13
- Next steps include analytic B-spline derivatives, periodic basis functions, vector-field extensions, and quantitative comparison with federated scientific machine-learning methods (Zhang et al., 2025).Source: C DISCUSSION · p. 13
- Synthetic PDE reconstructions from centralized fitting and Gram merging are identical (δmax < 10^-12); NOAA residuals show reconstruction error, not merged-versus-centralized disagreement.The synthetic figure covers centralized and merged fits; the NOAA figure compares the reconstruction with the interpolated product.Source: Figure 2 · p. 14, Figure 3 · p. 15