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Major Revision, Minor Accountability: LLMs as Reviewers of Published Articles in Top-Tier Journals

Bastien Le Guellec, Su Hwan Kim, Raphael Bentegeac, Aghiles Hamroun

arXiv:2610.31414v1cs.DLcs.AI

TL;DR

Reviewer shortages have made the question of LLM performance on already-published top-tier papers important, yet that question had not been studied. The authors tested LLM reviews of published papers and found recommendations to be generally harsh and variable, with behavior dependent on model and framing.

  • Problem

    How LLMs review papers already published in top-tier journals—and whether they recognize sound work or detect flaws—had not been investigated amid reviewer shortages.

    Source: §1 · pp. 1–2
  • Method

    The study tested LLM reviews of already-published papers under blinded review framings, with planted errors and off-panel judges assessing flaw detection and review content.

    Source: §1 · p. 2, §2.2 · p. 3, §2.4 · p. 4
  • Results

    LLM recommendations were generally harsh and varied by model, while recommendation behavior also depended on framing and was not fully derived from review comments.

    Source: §4 · pp. 8–9
  • Takeaways & Limitations

    Editorial recommendations from LLMs should be treated as variable signals, and new models should be assessed against journal policies after deployment.

    Source: §4.1 · p. 10

    The study assumes papers in the included journals provide a reasonable quality basis and did not have reviews assessed by experts.

    Source: §4 · p. 9

Abstract

from arXiv · show

With the growth of scientific output, the peer review system is approaching a breaking point: reviewers are increasingly hard to secure, and turnaround times lengthen accordingly. LLM-assisted or LLM-generated peer review has been proposed as a remedy, but how such models would treat manuscripts already published in top-tier journals, the closest thing the current system has to a gold standard of scientific validity, is not known. Here we assembled a corpus of 200 articles, each released under a CC BY 4.0 license and published in 2026, from 20 general-science, life-science, and clinical-medicine journals including Nature, Science, and Cell, and asked four current LLMs (two proprietary, two open-weight) to produce independent peer-review reports of each one under a blinded protocol. Their decisions were overwhelmingly harsh and starkly inconsistent with each other: 605 of 800 reviews (75.6%) recommended major revision or rejection, but the rate at which any single model did so ranged from 17.5% to 100% (p < 0.001), disagreement on manuscripts that had, by construction, already survived real editorial review at the journals in question. When the same manuscripts were doctored with one deliberately planted, field-specific methodological or statistical flaw, detection rates varied from 17.0% to 60.5% across models (p < 0.001). Recommending revision for papers that had already passed editorial review (low specificity) while missing flaws deliberately placed in front of them (low sensitivity), these models produce output that should be read for what it is: an uneven, framing- and model-dependent signal.

1 Introduction

Submission growth has intensified reviewer shortages and lengthened review times, while LLMs have been proposed to assist with reviewing. This study addresses the untested question of how LLMs would assess papers already published in top-tier journals, using those papers to examine recognition of sound work and detection of flaws.

1 Introduction

  • Submission volumes have outgrown the supply of willing and able reviewers, making it harder to secure qualified reviewers and lengthening turnaround times.Editors report difficulty securing the two or three reviewers a typical manuscript requires.Source: §1 · p. 1
  • Publication-count incentives and the rapid growth of generative AI tools are linked to rising submission volumes, especially in fields less dependent on physical experiments.The acceleration in submissions since 2024 is linked to generative AI tools.Source: §1 · p. 1
  • LLMs are already used for review tasks, including summarizing manuscripts and drafting reviews, while journals and conferences have begun deploying them.A 2025 survey found 53% of reviewers used AI for peer-review tasks; AAAI-26 provided AI-generated reviews to all 22,977 main-track submissions.Source: §1 · p. 1
  • Prior studies report model-review overlap, prestige bias, vulnerability to cosmetic rewriting, and increased acceptance probability near ICLR’s decision threshold.One assessment found AI-review overlap of 21%, versus 3% among human reviewers.Source: §1 · pp. 1–2
  • No prior study had examined how LLMs would review papers already published in top-tier journals, a way to assess recognition of sound work and detection of flaws.The authors frame these abilities as specificity and sensitivity, respectively.Source: §1 · p. 2

2 Methods

The study assembled published articles and evaluated LLM reviews through blinded review prompts, planted flaws, and side-by-side judging. Statistical tests were selected to account for ordinal decisions, paired comparisons, and manuscript-level clustering.

2.1 Manuscript corpus

  • The corpus comprised 200 research and review articles from 20 peer-reviewed journals, published in 2026 under CC BY 4.0 and meeting minimum-length and publication-status criteria.The journals spanned general science, life science, and clinical medicine, from broad-acceptance venues to flagship journals.Source: §2.1 · p. 2

2.2 Reviewer models and review protocol

  • Four LLMs reviewed each manuscript under first-submission and revision framings, with the target journal named and prior publication concealed.The prompts requested a summary, major and minor concerns, and a final decision; Figure 1 summarizes the corpus and experiments.Source: §2.2 · pp. 2–3, Figure 1 · p. 3

2.3 Error-injection experiment

  • An off-panel model planted one severe, field-specific statistical or methodological flaw per manuscript, and detection was scored by a second off-panel model.Only definite catches counted as detection; partial verdicts counted as misses.Source: §2.3 · pp. 3–4

2.4 Review-quality judging experiment

  • Two off-panel judges compared four anonymized reviews per manuscript, grouping concerns, rating their relevance and each review’s constructiveness, and selecting the best review.Review labels were randomized independently for each manuscript, and the judges were not told the reports were AI-generated.Source: §2.4 · p. 4

2.5 Statistical analysis

  • Analyses used rank-based tests for ordinal decisions and paired changes, clustered checks for model comparisons, and agreement measures for judge assessments.The study used Kruskal-Wallis and Friedman tests for decision severity, Wilcoxon signed-rank tests for paired changes, and Cohen’s κ and Spearman correlation for judge agreement.Source: §2.5 · pp. 4–5

3 Results

Across the same published manuscripts, reviewer models differed sharply in their recommendations, and a revision framing made every model more lenient. Models also varied in detecting planted flaws and in the quality of their reviews as judged by two independent models.

3.1 Reviewer models disagree sharply on the same manuscripts

  • 100% of manuscripts received major-revision or rejection recommendations from GPT-5.6 Sol, compared with 17.5% from Gemini 3.7 Flash; model distributions differed (p < 0.001).GLM-5.3 Flash recommended major revision or rejection for 90.0% and DeepSeek v4 Flash for 95.0%.Source: Figure 2 · p. 5, §3.1 · p. 5
  • Recommendations did not differ significantly across journals (p = 0.24) or between Nature, Science, and Cell and Scientific Reports (p = 0.081).Mean recommendations were 1.74 at Nature, Science, and Cell and 1.98 at Scientific Reports.Source: §3.1 · p. 5
  • 21/200 manuscripts (10.5%) received an identical decision from all four models, always unanimous major revision and never unanimous acceptance.These manuscripts were spread across 14 of the 20 journals.Source: §3.1 · p. 5, Figure 3 · p. 6

3.2 Presenting the same manuscript as a revision makes every model more lenient

  • 49.0% of paired reviews became milder when framed as revisions, and pooled mean severity fell from 1.77 to 1.26 (p < 0.001).Every model became more lenient; accept recommendations rose from 3.9% to 17.8%, while major revision fell from 70.3% to 42.3%.Source: §3.2 · p. 5, Figure 4 · p. 6

3.3 Reviewer models miss most single planted flaws, and detection rate itself varies by model

  • 60.5% of planted flaws were detected by GPT-5.6 Sol, versus 17.0% by DeepSeek v4 Flash; detection rates varied across models (p < 0.001).GLM-5.3 Flash detected 44.0% and Gemini 3.7 Flash 18.0%; the two weakest models were not distinguishable from each other.Source: §3.3 · p. 6, Figure 5 · p. 7
  • Planting a flaw changed mean recommendation severity by only 0.02 categories overall (p > 0.35 for every model).Among reviews where judges confirmed flaw detection, recommendations were unchanged in 84.2%, despite a 0.07-category mean severity increase (p = 0.006).Source: §3.3 · p. 7

3.4 One model’s reviews are judged best almost universally, and cross-model agreement tracks genuine relevance

  • GPT-5.6 Sol’s review was named best in 94.5% of manuscripts by one judge and 75.5% by the other; neither Gemini nor DeepSeek was ever named best.GPT-5.6 Sol also raised the most relevant concerns, was rated most constructive, and had the lowest nitpicking rate under both judges.Source: §3.4 · p. 7, Figure 6 · p. 8

4 Discussion

Across published top-tier biomedical papers, LLM recommendations were harsh and varied by model, while editorial decisions also shifted with question framing. The authors conclude that recommendations should remain a monitored, limited signal rather than substitute for human judgment.

4 Discussion

  • All four tested LLMs showed low specificity and sensitivity, often recommending major revision or rejection for papers already published in top journals.The authors characterize the recommendations as variable, model-dependent, and generally harsh.Source: §4 · p. 8
  • The same published manuscript could receive different recommendations depending on which model was queried; no manuscript was unanimously accepted.The only unanimous decision was major revision, for 21 of 200 manuscripts.Source: §4 · p. 8
  • LLMs recommended major revision or rejection for most manuscripts, a tendency the authors suggest may reflect incentives to appear authoritative and avoid accepting submissions at face value.The proposed explanation is tentative: models may optimize for major revision as a middle ground between rejection and acceptance.Source: §4 · p. 9
  • A planted blocking error barely shifted decisions even when identified, while revision-round framing shifted decisions toward acceptance despite unchanged content.The authors interpret these findings as evidence of recommendations biased toward indecision.Source: §4 · p. 9
  • The authors argue that machine reviews may inform editorial judgment but should not substitute for human judgment or take on a certification role.They distinguish a machine’s formal appearance of authority from the accountability of a human reviewer invited by an editor.Source: §4 · p. 9
  • Model comments, especially those converging across models, may help identify manuscript vulnerabilities, but their value requires expert assessment in future studies.The authors propose testing whether such convergence reveals issues missed by human reviewers.Source: §4 · p. 9
  • The study assumes papers in the included journals provide a reasonable basis of trust, did not assess reviews with experts, and used models chosen partly for financial and ecological reasons.Some selected 2026 articles may have been available earlier as preprints and entered model training data.Source: §4 · p. 9

4.1 Conclusion

  • The conclusion treats LLM recommendations as variable signals shaped by model choice and question framing, making postdeployment assessment against journal-specific benchmarks essential.The authors note that new models are released continuously.Source: §4.1 · p. 10

Appendix A. Exact prompts

Appendix A reproduces the pipeline prompts, with the stated substitutions for placeholders.

Appendix A. Exact prompts

  • The prompts are reproduced verbatim from the pipeline code.The only substitutions are the {journal} and {category_guidance} placeholders, as noted.Source: Appendix A · p. 12
  • The stated prompt substitutions are limited to the {journal} and {category_guidance} placeholders.Source: Appendix A · p. 12
  • The appendix identifies the placeholder substitutions as the sole departure from the pipeline prompts.Source: Appendix A · p. 12

A.1 Reviewer system prompt (Experiments 1–2), {journal} substituted with the manuscript’s stated target journal

The reviewer prompt asks the model to review a full manuscript for a named journal and return a structured report with a single editorial decision.

A.2 Reviewer system prompt

  • The model is assigned the role of a journal reviewer and shown the full text of a submitted manuscript.Source: §A.1 · p. 12
  • The report structure includes a manuscript summary, major concerns, and minor concerns.Source: §A.1 · p. 12
  • The prompt requires the response to end with exactly one decision line: accept, minor revision, major revision, or reject.Source: §A.1 · p. 12

A.2 Error-injector system prompt (Experiment 2), {category_guidance} substituted with one of the two category blocks below

The error-injector prompt directs the model to identify a paper’s central claim and introduce a serious, field-specific flaw through a minimal text edit.

A.3 Error-injector system prompt

  • The injector receives a published paper treated as presumably sound and must identify the central conclusion the title and abstract are built around.Source: §A.2 · p. 12
  • The flaw must be substantive, specific to the paper’s field, data, and method, and serious enough to warrant major revision or rejection.Source: §A.2 · p. 12
  • The flaw should be hard to spot and introduced with the smallest reasonable edit, typically replacing or removing a short passage.Source: §A.2 · p. 12
  • The injector must quote the original passage exactly, provide replacement text or an empty string, and return the specified JSON fields.Source: §A.2 · pp. 12–13

Category block: statistical

The statistical category targets analyses that do not match the data structure or study design, with the specific concern tailored to the paper.

Category block: methodological

The methodological category targets either undisclosed access that could bias a judgment or a measurement that does not isolate the claimed outcome.

A.3 Detection-judge system prompt (Experiment 2)

The detection judge checks whether a review identifies a deliberately planted flaw in a doctored manuscript, rather than offering nearby but generic criticism.

  • The judge receives the manuscript’s central conclusion, the planted flaw, and the full review of the doctored manuscript.Source: §A.3 · p. 13
  • A flaw counts as identified only when the review explicitly names that specific problem in the same location, not when it raises generic or unrelated concerns.Source: §A.3 · p. 13
  • The judge must answer with one word: yes, no, or partial.Source: §A.3 · p. 13

A.4 Review-quality judge system prompt (Experiment 3)

The review-quality judge acts as an editor evaluating four anonymous reviews, clustering major concerns, judging their relevance and constructiveness, and selecting the best review.

  • The judge evaluates four anonymous reviews labeled A through D solely on their content.Source: §A.4 · p. 13
  • It groups substantively equivalent major methodological, statistical, or interpretive concerns and records which reviews raised each cluster.Source: §A.4 · p. 13
  • Each concern cluster is classified as relevant if it could affect conclusions or acceptance, or nitpicking if it is minor or unlikely to matter.Source: §A.4 · p. 13
  • Each review receives a 1–5 constructiveness rating based on actionable, specific guidance, independently of its recommendation’s harshness or leniency.Source: §A.4 · p. 13
  • The judge selects the single review it would most want an author to receive and gives a one-sentence reason.Source: §A.4 · p. 13
  • The required output is a JSON object containing concern summaries and categories, review constructiveness scores, and the best review with its reason.Source: §A.4 · pp. 13–14
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